VALUATION • GUIDE

Intrinsic Value of a Stock Explained

Understand intrinsic value, valuation assumptions, margin of safety and why no intrinsic-value estimate is a precise fact.

Intrinsic value is an estimate of what a business may be worth based on future economic benefits. It is a model, not an observable market number.

Cash-flow approach

A discounted cash-flow model estimates future free cash flows and discounts them to present value. Small changes in assumptions can materially change the result.

Earnings approach

An earnings or P/E framework can estimate value from sustainable earnings and an appropriate multiple, but the multiple itself depends on assumptions.

Margin of safety

Because forecasts are uncertain, investors often compare an estimated value with the market price and test downside scenarios rather than relying on one target.

What to disclose

Show revenue growth, margins, reinvestment, discount rate, terminal assumptions and sensitivity. A hidden assumption makes a valuation difficult to audit.

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